Posted By Fatima Bhutto Share

How Pakistan’s president is scamming the West.

By Fatima Bhutto

President Asif Ali Zardari, less than a year into his reign, has managed to engage Pakistan’s armed forces, the seventh largest army in the world, in a guerrilla war with the newly formed Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan, our very own Taliban, in the North West Frontier Province. Rumors of Talibanization air daily on Pakistani television, radio and print media: The barbarians are at the gate, we are told, and warned that if there was a time to rally around the nation’s oleaginous president, a man known locally as “President Ghadari” or traitor in Urdu, this is it. However, the time for scaremongering has past -- it is precisely President Zardari’s politically expedient use of national hysteria that has seen American drones welcomed over Pakistan’s airspace and has birthed a war that this government cannot win.  

In the aftermath and fallout of 9/11, Pakistan saw its elite -- the power brokers of the country’s politics and economy -- turn against their traditional allies, the United States for the first time. As U.S. forces occupied first Afghanistan and then Iraq, Pakistan’s elite took an unexpected turn; they welcomed resistance to American foreign policy and supported, as they had never quite done before, Islamic parties that took control of local government and provincial cabinet positions in the North West Frontier Province. 

Islamic parties in Pakistan traditionally perform poorly in national elections -- garnering only a handful of seats in the assembly, but the 2002 elections saw them enter coalitions and alliances that brought them to power on the national level. For the nation’s elite, a powerful but small minority and the stronghold of Western interests, this was a dangerous turn of events.

In 2008, months after taking power in a hastily organized parliamentary election, Zardari drew upon Pakistan’s overwhelmingly anti-American sentiment and empowered the nascent domestic Taliban, which entered prominence roughly at the same time that the president did, by capitulating to their demands for sharia law in the Swat Valley (the very same region that the government is now, one month later, bombarding with American assistance).

With one hand, Zardari gave the militants what they wanted -- no vote or referendum was held -- and Taliban law was imposed on the Swat Valley by force. With the other, Zardari pointed a crooked finger at the rise of fundamentalism and capitalized on a golden opportunity to bring the nation’s elite back into the government’s obsequiously pro-American fold.

The Taliban were pointed out as the largest threat facing the urban elite of Karachi, Islamabad and Lahore -- they threatened our values, our dress, our lives, and they had to be dealt with for us to remain safe. While the Taliban have certainly made inroads into Pakistan in the last year, there is no doubt that they were only able to do so with the consent of the government, a very powerful backer. Without the government aiding and abetting the Taliban (as in the Swat Valley), they have a long way to go before they can exercise power in any cohesive manner.

Zardari’s double game may have brought him billions more in American aid and assistance -- U.S. envoy Richard Holbrooke being the president’s loudest champion in Washington, warning Congress that if billions of dollars are not delivered immediately to Pakistan the war on terror will be in mortal danger -- but it has lost him Pakistan. As we watch the number of internally displaced people rise steadily toward two million our army kills our own citizens, it should come as no surprise when the BBC Urdu service reveals that the government controls only 38 percent of the NWFP province -- a number that is sure to fall as the weeks go on.

Fatima Bhutto writes for the New Statesman and the Daily Beast. She is working on a book on Pakistan to be published in 2010. She is a niece of Benazir Bhutto, who was married to Asif Ali Zardari.

Photo: JIM WATSON/AFP/Getty Images

 

BALTIMORON

3:53 AM ET

May 15, 2009

Incestuous

Is there nothing about Pakistan that isn't a matter of siblings and extended clans? Next, we'll learn that the Taliban leadership and Pakistan's elite are distant cousins!

I also feel like it's WW2 or pre-Korean War when Madame Chiang and Francesca Donner, respectively, charmed Congress for cash. Only Zardari and Haqqani aren't nearly so voluptuous.

 

KXB

3:53 PM ET

May 15, 2009

No good choices

As has been said in the past, Pakistan is the only country that holds a gun to its own head, and says, "Give me what I want or I'll shoot." The problem is that the U.S. has very few good options, and plenty of bad ones. If we were to cut off all aid, as we did in the 1990s, then Pakistan simply starts starts to rot. And it was this situation that led to the Pakistanis organizing the Taliban. A Taliban nuke is unlikely - terrorists prefer to keep their technology simple, such as truck bombs, or in the case of the Bombay attack, maybe use smart phones equipped with Google Earth. But an entire province, such as NWFP, under Taliban control, would still be a threat - to Pakistan, its immediate neighbors, and the West.

 

THETRAJECTORY

5:55 PM ET

May 15, 2009

The problem goes beyond Zardari

Fatima Bhutto’s analysis about Zardari’s hypocrisy is perfectly right but I think the real problem in Pakistan goes beyond Zardari. It’s a problem about weak political institutions in Pakistan. Is there any Pakistani political leader after Zulfikar Ali Bhutto who has not personalized the political institutions in Pakistan? If Zardari is an incapable political leader then who is the option?
Moreover I don’t support this claim that Musharraf has or Zardari is appeasing the Islamic militant groups in Pakistan. The super-influence of Islam on Pakistan’s polity, society and military under General Zia has created a problem which no political leader of the country can manage single-handedly. It’s easy to advise that the political leadership should be on an all-out offensive against the extremists but we need to understand that this effort requires a lot of undoing. I am not supporting the Pakistani leadership in any way (on the contrary I am its most staunch critic); I am merely attempting to emphasize that the political leadership cannot be expected to legally/politically dislodge the dominant (sometimes skewed) influence of Islamic extremism in Pakistan. What Pakistan needs is a social revolution supported by all political segments of Pakistan. Hopefully the blame game gives way to collective responsibility.
http://thetrajectory.com

 

BHARAT JAIN

6:09 PM ET

May 15, 2009

What's new here?

Great title for an otherwise insipid article.

Can anyone tell me what's new in this article (save possibly its author's reputation) that any Pakistan observer doesn't already know?

The article is just a rehash of what's already being widely debated in various fora, within Pakistan and without.

I expected Ms. Bhutto, because of who she is, to bring deep insight into how Pak's future will unravel in different scenarios (to raise just one: what if the Taliban does get the better of her Uncle-Prez and his party's gutless government).

 

SREEKANTH

6:42 PM ET

May 15, 2009

taliban not a problem ?

It seems like Fatima B's hatred of BB and AZ is making her suggest that the Taliban is not really that bad, or Islamism is not such a problem. Assume for the sake of argument that Zardari was really playing brinksmanship by letting the Taliban get stronger so he could build up the momentum and support (both in Pak as well as the US) to crush them. Is that such a bad thing, tactically ?

I only care about the final outcome, that Pak wholeheartedly drops its theory of keeping extremists alive in case they come in handy against Af or India.

 

SLUGGO59

1:19 AM ET

May 21, 2009

The Taliban Bogeyman

When Bush2 got us into this nefarious "War On Terror" we should have asked more deeper questions sooner. This effort has become out of control. We are obviously being duped by many people in the Middle East and Southwest Asia. We are being plowed under morally,physically emotionally and financially. This just reeks of another one of the foreign elite of nation states from afar trying to get anything the can before we implode and have to retreat to protectionism. Beware of the coming of the End.

 

JUSTUJU

10:08 AM ET

May 21, 2009

The sons of Benazir: Taliban

It is very well known in Pakistan, that both Benazir Bhutto and one of her Generals, Nasirullah Babar, used to label Taliban as their children ... a product of their own wisdom and strategy towards the Afghan-Soviet-US-Pak war in 1980s. Pakistan is today reaping the harvest of Afghan-Soviet war, with the poisonous seeds of Taliban sown by all the characters of that era. In Pakistan the credit mainly goes to the late President Ziaul Haque and his protege like Nawaz Sharif, Jamate Islami and company.